Snow Event

2015 Event #4Event #4 may have lacked the flair and drama that was being forecast but performed about exactly to expectations.

A majority of the snow fell overnight on the 28th/morning of the 29th with light accumulations throughout the day on the 29th.

A full plow would have taken place on the night of the 29th for most properties.

Chronology:

  • Full plow evening of 12/29
  • Snow Ending 12/29
  • Light snow through the night
  • 6 pm 12/28 – Snow begins from sw to ne

Event totals:

  • Rosemount – 7″
  • Prior Lake – 5.7″
  • Inver Grove Heights – 5.5″
  • MSP Airport – 5.5″ (Official)
  • Roseville – 4.9″
  • Maplewood – 3.5″
  • Minneapolis DT – 3.2″
  • Plymouth – 2.8″

Monthly totals:

  • December – 37.2″ (5.7″ below normal)
  • November – 5.1″ (.2″ above normal)
  • October – T” (.2″ below normal)

Seasonal totals:

*ELC uses a 20-year average.

Event Forecasts

UPDATE 8 AM 12/29

12/29 MSP Weather StoryGood morning –

So…the snow never really materialized as expected. MSP Airport has 4.7″ of snow as of this morning. The main moisture of the storm moved further east and dropped over a foot in west central Wisconsin. As well, Southern MN had 8″.

Still in a WINTER STORM WARNING until noon, the snow isn’t completely done yet, the south metro will see another inch or two throughout the day today as the snow slowly moves out.

The entire metro was plowable last night with 2″ in the far northwest and 4″+ in the southeast. The plow last night should have been pretty thorough as the snow fell much slower than was expected this time yesterday.

An additional 2-4″ through the day today ending mid-afternoon will necessitate another full plow tonight and possibly daytime service today.

12/28 Radar at 2:30 pm

12/28 Radar at 2:30 pm

UPDATE 2:30 pm

The storm is on track for arrival in MSP this afternoon between 4 and 5 pm. However, the heaviest of the liquid is trending to our east reducing snow totals to the 5-7″ range from the higher amounts expected this morning.

UPDATE 11 am

The latest runs for snowfall from the National Weather Service pull the snow back a little in MSP for a max of 10″ in the southeast to 4-6″ in the northwest

12/28/15 at 8 am

 

12/28 weather storyMSP is expecting to see a major snow event beginning Monday late afternoon and lasting through Tuesday afternoon accumulation 8″ to 10″ of snow.

The bulk of the snow will fall Monday evening into the overnight hours accumulating well over an inch an hour at times. I haven’t seen accumulation rates like this in quite a while. The gif below is the anticipated accumulations for 6-hour periods starting with the period ending Monday at noon.

Dec 28, 2015 08:29

Impacts

The snow will impact Monday’s afternoon commute and driving will become extremely dangerous after 6 pm. A Winter Storm Warning is in effect – the first one of the season – for the region.

Expected Services

MSP’s Event #4 will be a difficult one to service and you will need to have patience Tuesday. If the storm proceeds as currently forecast, there is a good change the MNDoT will pull their plow trucks until the bulk of the snow passes overnight. This will make it difficult for your contractors to report to properties.

Click Here to Download the MSP Winter Event #3 Recap PDF.

Tuesday morning, you’ll see quite a bit of snow still on your properties as well as having properties that are virtually inaccessible because city plows have blocked driveways.

Winds

As this storm marches into the metro today, the winds will pick up to 25-30 mph gusts. This wind will cause significant blowing, drifting and visibility issues. Luckily, it will decrease through Tuesday and be calm for the full plow Tuesday night.

WIND GUSTS